Novità

Esogena

Grazie Ragazzi, interessante anche notare che su 10 spazi-prev. se ne sono sfaldati ben 9 in soli 6° C. ad ulteriore riprova dell'efficacia dei Picchi. vedremo se possibile di individuarne altri in seguito.
un saluto.
 
Grazie Ragazzi, interessante anche notare che su 10 spazi-prev. se ne sono sfaldati ben 9 in soli 6° C. ad ulteriore riprova dell'efficacia dei Picchi. vedremo se possibile di individuarne altri in seguito.
un saluto.
Ciao Halmun, hai qualche previsione per oggi? Grazie Armaus
 
Ciao Halmun, hai qualche previsione per oggi? Grazie Armaus
-------------------------------------------

ciao Armaus, le nuove prev. le trovi sul post X 1 Posizioni. qui invece pubblico un ulteriore controllo su Esogena che prende in considerazione anche il valore del Target. al riguardo sto effettuando svariati test per eventuali conferme sula validità della varianza maggiore.
****

BARI - Test di Controllo sui 5 estratti incluso Target - fine data al 25/01/2020
rilevamento Varianza maggiore. Stringa N° in gioco - 09 49 41 43


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=3.5, variance = 0.75
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=8.5, variance = 6.75 ....... = 9

Normalized target series 00, E=1, variance = 0.5
Normalized target series 01, E=2, variance = 0.5
NARX training complete.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=3.5, variance = 00.75
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=9.0, variance = 09.50 ....... = 9

Normalized target series 00, E=5.5, variance = 00.75
Normalized target series 01, E=9.0, variance = 01.50
NARX training complete.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=28.2, variance = 437.16
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=25.6, variance = 360.84
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=24.6, variance = 321.24
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=25.4, variance = 317.64
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=33.6, variance = 673.24
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=17.6, variance = 187.64
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=07.4, variance = 017.24
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=21.6, variance = 272.84

Normalized target series 00, E=12.0, variance = 067.80
Normalized target series 01, E=17.4, variance = 154.44
Normalized target series 02, E=21.2, variance = 256.76
Normalized target series 03, E=15.8, variance = 121.16
Normalized target series 04, E=20.4, variance = 234.44
Normalized target series 05, E=17.0, variance = 128.60
Normalized target series 06, E=28.2, variance = 437.16
Normalized target series 07, E=25.8, variance = 332.36
Normalized target series 08, E=32.2, variance = 559.96
Normalized target series 09, E=48.6, variance = 715.24 ........ = 49

Normalized target series 10, E=80, variance = 0.2
NARX training complete.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=27.2857, variance = 609.776
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=21.0000, variance = 332.143
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=24.0000, variance = 419.571
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=27.5714, variance = 602.959
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=19.8571, variance = 302.837
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=22.0000, variance = 226.143
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=20.1429, variance = 279.122
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=21.2857, variance = 329.490
Normalized exogenous series 08, E=19.2857, variance = 339.776

Normalized target series 00, E=18.2857, variance = 234.061
Normalized target series 01, E=21.7143, variance = 318.061
Normalized target series 02, E=23.1429, variance = 442.265
Normalized target series 03, E=25.2857, variance = 311.776
Normalized target series 04, E=40.5714, variance = 890.388 ....... = 41

Normalized target series 05, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 06, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 07, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 08, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 09, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 10, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 11, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 12, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 13, E=85, variance = 0.142857
NARX training complete.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=27.5714, variance = 625.245
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=23.5714, variance = 324.102
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=29.0000, variance = 602.429
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=28.7143, variance = 583.490
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=27.2857, variance = 715.776
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=26.0000, variance = 278.429
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=29.7143, variance = 632.918
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=27.2857, variance = 609.776
Normalized exogenous series 08, E=23.1429, variance = 299.694
Normalized exogenous series 09, E=20.0000, variance = 283.000

Normalized target series0 0, E=30.2857, variance = 0665.204
Normalized target series 01, E=28.8571, variance = 0660.837
Normalized target series 02, E=28.5714, variance = 0488.388
Normalized target series 03, E=42.5714, variance = 1012.670 ....... = 43

Normalized target series 04, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 05, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 06, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 07, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 08, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 09, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 10, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 11, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 12, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 13, E=90, variance = 0.142857
NARX training complete.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ris.
09 41 49 al 1° C.
41 43 al 2° C.
43 al 3° C.
 
-------------------------------------------

ciao Armaus, le nuove prev. le trovi sul post X 1 Posizioni. qui invece pubblico un ulteriore controllo su Esogena che prende in considerazione anche il valore del Target. al riguardo sto effettuando svariati test per eventuali conferme sula validità della varianza maggiore.
****

BARI - Test di Controllo sui 5 estratti incluso Target - fine data al 25/01/2020
rilevamento Varianza maggiore. Stringa N° in gioco - 09 49 41 43


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=3.5, variance = 0.75
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=8.5, variance = 6.75 ....... = 9

Normalized target series 00, E=1, variance = 0.5
Normalized target series 01, E=2, variance = 0.5
NARX training complete.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=3.5, variance = 00.75
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=9.0, variance = 09.50 ....... = 9

Normalized target series 00, E=5.5, variance = 00.75
Normalized target series 01, E=9.0, variance = 01.50
NARX training complete.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=28.2, variance = 437.16
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=25.6, variance = 360.84
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=24.6, variance = 321.24
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=25.4, variance = 317.64
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=33.6, variance = 673.24
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=17.6, variance = 187.64
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=07.4, variance = 017.24
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=21.6, variance = 272.84

Normalized target series 00, E=12.0, variance = 067.80
Normalized target series 01, E=17.4, variance = 154.44
Normalized target series 02, E=21.2, variance = 256.76
Normalized target series 03, E=15.8, variance = 121.16
Normalized target series 04, E=20.4, variance = 234.44
Normalized target series 05, E=17.0, variance = 128.60
Normalized target series 06, E=28.2, variance = 437.16
Normalized target series 07, E=25.8, variance = 332.36
Normalized target series 08, E=32.2, variance = 559.96
Normalized target series 09, E=48.6, variance = 715.24 ........ = 49

Normalized target series 10, E=80, variance = 0.2
NARX training complete.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=27.2857, variance = 609.776
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=21.0000, variance = 332.143
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=24.0000, variance = 419.571
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=27.5714, variance = 602.959
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=19.8571, variance = 302.837
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=22.0000, variance = 226.143
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=20.1429, variance = 279.122
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=21.2857, variance = 329.490
Normalized exogenous series 08, E=19.2857, variance = 339.776

Normalized target series 00, E=18.2857, variance = 234.061
Normalized target series 01, E=21.7143, variance = 318.061
Normalized target series 02, E=23.1429, variance = 442.265
Normalized target series 03, E=25.2857, variance = 311.776
Normalized target series 04, E=40.5714, variance = 890.388 ....... = 41

Normalized target series 05, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 06, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 07, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 08, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 09, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 10, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 11, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 12, E=85, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 13, E=85, variance = 0.142857
NARX training complete.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Normalized exogenous series 00, E=27.5714, variance = 625.245
Normalized exogenous series 01, E=23.5714, variance = 324.102
Normalized exogenous series 02, E=29.0000, variance = 602.429
Normalized exogenous series 03, E=28.7143, variance = 583.490
Normalized exogenous series 04, E=27.2857, variance = 715.776
Normalized exogenous series 05, E=26.0000, variance = 278.429
Normalized exogenous series 06, E=29.7143, variance = 632.918
Normalized exogenous series 07, E=27.2857, variance = 609.776
Normalized exogenous series 08, E=23.1429, variance = 299.694
Normalized exogenous series 09, E=20.0000, variance = 283.000

Normalized target series0 0, E=30.2857, variance = 0665.204
Normalized target series 01, E=28.8571, variance = 0660.837
Normalized target series 02, E=28.5714, variance = 0488.388
Normalized target series 03, E=42.5714, variance = 1012.670 ....... = 43

Normalized target series 04, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 05, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 06, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 07, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 08, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 09, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 10, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 11, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 12, E=90, variance = 0.142857
Normalized target series 13, E=90, variance = 0.142857
NARX training complete.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ris.
09 41 49 al 1° C.
41 43 al 2° C.
43 al 3° C.
Grazie, Armaus
 

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